Transport Decision-Making in the Face of Natural and Anthropogenic Hazards

The transport behavior of individuals and systems, complex at the most predictable of times, turn increasingly complicated when an unexpected natural (e.g., hurricane) or artificial (e.g., a transit accident) event occurs. Yet, even under the most disruptive of disruptions, humans adapt, altering their behavior to accommodate changes to the physical transport system by adjusting commuting patterns and home and work schedules. With collaborators from engineering, I have investigated these changes in several studies of weather-related and accident-caused transport system failures.

Note that in an attempt to honor the confusing spirit of copyright law, I’ve not uploaded PDFs of my papers to this page, but

  • I provide pointers to most of the publishers’ websites, which typically provides at least access to each paper’s abstract
  • I’ve made most of these available as full text through and
  • I’m happy to send PDFs attachments to individuals under the fair use doctrine, so contact me via email if interested

Murray-Tuite, Pamela, Elham Hajhashemi, Susan Hotle, & Kris Wernstedt. 2019. “Using Agent-Based Modeling to Evaluate the Effects of Hurricane Sandy’s Recovery Timeline on the Ability to Work.” Transportation Research Part D: Transport & Environment 77, 506-524.

Kontou, Eleftheria, Pamela Murray-Tuite, and Kris Wernstedt. 2017:  “Duration of Commute Travel Changes in the Aftermath of Hurricane Sandy using Accelerated Failure Time Modeling.” Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice. 100:170-181. (paper at )

Kontou, Eleftheria, Pamela Murray-Tuite, and Kris Wernstedt. In Press:  “Commuter Adaptation in Response to Hurricane Sandy’s Damage.” Natural Hazards Review. (paper at )

Wernstedt, Kris and Pamela Murray-Tuite. 2015:  “The Dynamic Nature of Risk Perceptions after a Fatal Transit Accident.” Risk Analysis, 35(3), 536-552. (paper at )

Murray-Tuite, Pamela, Kris Wernstedt, and Weihao Yin. 2014:  “Behavioral Shifts after a Fatal Rapid Transit Accident:  A Multinomial Logit Model.” Transportation Research Part F:  Traffic Psychology and Behaviour, 24(0), 218-230. (abstract at )

Yin, Weihao, Pamela Murray-Tuite, and Kris Wernstedt. 2012:  “Incident-Induced Diversion Behavior:  Existence, Magnitude, and Contributing Factors.” Journal of Transportation Engineering, 138(10), 1239-1249. (paper at )

Wernstedt, Kris. 2009:  “Integrated Transport and Urban Design Choices to Reduce Carbon Emissions:  Public Attitudes in the Washington, DC USA Metropolitan Area. World Transport Policy & Practice, 14(4), 36-47. (paper at